The Bitcoin “Bubble” May Pop But Rise Again
I know the news is in full panic mode and for partially good reason. Not only has the market shrunk and fallen but it appears new investors are staying out. The average investor in my opinion is still on the sidelines and they will be until things become more clear.
With that said I am HODLING and not panicking…….well except for ICOs based on Ethereum ERC20 Tokens like Finom, Tron, Bitclave, Bloom, all of who appear to have produced nothing so far. In all fairness it takes time but my appetite for ICO and tokens is saturated. I truly feel 99% are scams that will never produce anything and therefore the return will in the end be 0. This is because those tokens are just an investment in what is often a bad idea or an idea that will never be executed or completed as advertised. So for your tokens, I say it is time to panic and rightfully so. That being said I am HODLING those too but wouldn’t hesitate to unload most of them should there be a good opportunity for return (unless I still believe in the project).
For cryptocurrencies that are usable and have real value I believe they will rise again just like the stock market regardless of what happens. There are a lot of remorseful people who sold their Bitcoins and Litecoins at very low levels when things weren’t looking up. In all fairness in this new market it’s hard to be sure where things will end.
But I’m of the opinion that I will hold for years if necessary, the same discipline one should use for commodities in the stock market (unless an underlying valuation aspect has significantly or permanently changed). From that perspective I think cryptocurrency is here, so there is demand, and it will continue to grow and be more popular. The stock market has had far worse happen to it and recovered (however as a fan of Jim Rogers I do believe this next crash that Wall Street is due for may never recover or not for a long time). Much like cryptocurrencies, we see the market on Wall Street can be artificially manipulated up or down. I believe the same players are using these tactics in cryptocurrency, such as similar stock market scandals where the elite and wealthy trick people into selling short while they buy it all and sell high later on.
I am long on cryptocurrencies which involve and have a minimum bureaucracy that just get things done. I’ve said it before but simple changes shouldn’t be debated or discussed, if a currency isn’t functioning properly then if the block size or time needs to be changed just do it! Some things needn’t and shouldn’t be debated if they are necessary. This is again where I disagree with hardforks and why they shouldn’t be possible. If there is really an ideological split then the team who disagrees should start their own currency from scratch.
In reality though we just need teams around that know business, IT and security rather than expert marketers and sales people. I think the industry will naturally head in that direction inevitably as a result of both regulation and genuine issues with the way things are done now.
For one, as a business it is still hard to integrate cryptocurrency and insecure (more on that in another article) but the revolution will come. If the community does it, then the majority will benefit but if a government, bank or other large corporate entity does it, it will not benefit us. So it’s time to check ourselves, pack up, roll up our sleeves and get to work!