BitPay Accepts Bitcoin Cash

Although we have used Bitpay I didn’t realize it was available for brick and mortar physical transactions since we’ve never done any.   On that end it puzzles me how on earth anyone would ever use them?

Bitcoin can take minutes and even hours to confirm!  Can you imagine waiting at the restaurant held hostage because “your transaction is unconfirmed?”.  This is the advantage fiat processing still has.

But, really I think Bitpay should rebrand to use currencies that are actually usable for instantaneous transactions at retail or restaurant.

They should be using a currency like Ripple or Lumens which is nearly instant.  There are a few currencies that have these properties but any Bitcoin or Ethereum derivative is simply not going to cut it in my opinion.

Personally I don’t know a single person who has or would use any of these coins for payments, we all reach for the cash, debit or credit.  These are people like me, who are crypto enthusiasts but we also value convenience and what works.  And I think a lot of the cryptoworld is stuck in a dream world that simply doesn’t exist.  Now, for us in IT we and the customer can often wait over night for the transaction to be confirmed, but at a grocery store or restaurant neither the seller or customer would be impressed.

 

Federal Reserve Says Bitcoin Cannot Replace the US Dollar

The new chief of the San Francisco branch, of the privately held, Federal Reserve Bank has stated that Bitcoin cannot, and will not ever replace the US Dollar.  First of all, they are doing a fantastic job and understand their market and duties.  They cannot step into this job and say anything else and expect to keep it.

I get it, Bitcoin is printed without supposed backing, although it is backed by a lot of physical hardware assets and electricity.  Fiat currency, especially the US Dollar is printed and floated without any controls or restrictions.  Well, actually, the only control and restriction is that there is none.  The Federal Reserve prints at will and on demand, without limitation or backing of any sort, and they have long abandoned the gold standard.

The fact that the Federal Reserve would comment at all on this matter and mention Bitcoin, to me, is very telling that it is very much a possibility.  When you have this much money put into something that is being traded worldwide, every second, and such an ecosystem I think it is an excellent contender to the US Dollar and fiat currency in general.  Remember, fiat is backed by nothing as well and printed without any limit.  Most cryptocurrencies actually are limited in how many coins can be mined or minted at any rate.

Cryptocurrency is currently at a $421 Billion USD market cap and I think it won’t be long before it is in the trillion dollar range.  This is ultimately the worst nightmare for any central banker with so many competitors, of course your number one priority should be outlawing them and shutting them down.

On that end the Fed is right to do it and is doing their job well.  However, for people who don’t essentially control the fiat financial system, we would do well to root for cryptocurrency as an alternative system.  I think both systems can survive and work together, but if fiat pushes it too much, I think there may be a digital currency revolution that far surpassed the digital rights movement of the late 90s and early 2000s that caught the RIAA and MPAA by surprise.

Why Hardforks In Cryptocurrency Are Bad

I’ve always felt this but hardforks are simply bad, even if in the rare case they intend to fix a problem with the original currency.  Most currencies which have issues like Bitcoin are simply not just a “single problem” but a collective bunch of inherent problems.   But most often it is so clear like is the case with Bitcoin Gold that the team just copies and counterfeits a coin to unjustly enrich themselves.

Risks and Issues with Hardforks

  1. Loss of value, normally the original coin is at least temporarily devalued when a hardfork is done.  People wonder which coin will survive or be more popular?
  2. Confusion leading to scams and fraud.  Which is the real Bitcoin or real Bitcoin Gold?
  3. Many forks don’t make a wallet (more evidence of bad intention) and more likely that fraudsters will make a wallet that steals your coins (eg. John Dass and the Bitcoin Gold team).
  4. Community frustration and division.

Instead of hardforking it is much better to do what Cloakcoin or Litecoin did and the many others did by just copying it, making changes and starting their own blockchain.  This ensures the process won’t allow fraud, confusion or devaluation of the original coin and no harm comes to the community that way.

All these coins have stolen value from the main coins like Bitcoin and then people ask why the value went down?  If Bitcoin was not hardforkable I think it should be several times the value we see now, almost certainly 2/3s or more of the crypto market cap.

Bitcoin Private and Cloak Cryptocurrencies

There is a huge emphasis on privacy with a lot of new coins but I do feel that a lot of coins focus on a single issue and leave the overall business and usability aspect out.  How do these newer coins fare?

Cloak

My first impression is why doesn’t the non-www version work while the www version does?  Does their team not know how to properly configure nginx or is it just a simple mistake and oversight?

Cloakcoin.com-Forbidden-ConfigError

They call their encryption ENIGMA which I am not sure is a joke or if they aren’t aware of the ENIGMA encryption box in Germany that was compromised during WWII?  I would more so be worried that it is a read between the lines joke or a hint that the team is doing something more than they claim?  Sorry but I just can’t get over the fact that they would not know about the Enigma box from Germany that was decoded.

For my second point I do like the privacy aspects but this is where I have concerns.  On one head they tout privacy, but then to have more privacy they obfuscate transactions by using other clients wallets?  Why would you allow a third-party and random strange to process or handle any part of the transaction?  I do realize they say it is fully encrypted and obfuscated so the random third party stranger on the network shouldn’t know anything about you or your transaction, but to me it violates the principle of privacy and security.  It reminds me of how everyone believed the TOR network is a good idea and secure, but in reality whoever runs an exit node can spy on other users, including the NSA.  This architecture of Cloak makes me worried that a vulnerability could be found and that privacy could be worse than most other Bitcoin-style coins.  Even if a simple vulnerability was not found, you are essentially passing private information to random strangers on the network, the NSA or other large funded organizations could use this to spy on other users or even perhaps modify transactions and create chaos on the network.

I also find it confusing how they say it is private but you have to enable “ENIGMA” on top of “Cloak Shield” to truly make it private?

Here are the parts I’ve picked on from their website:

Alice’s Cloak wallet then automatically sends a request to the network for other Cloak wallets who have elected to become ENIGMA mixer nodes to obfuscate her transaction. All of this is done privately and securely throughout with no identities or true IP addresses revealed.

Bob has cloaking mode enabled in his wallet and the wallet generates a secure CloakShield encryption channel for communications with Alice’s wallet. Bob’s wallet sends Alice a secure connection, containing encrypted inputs and outputs to commence the transaction.

With this confirmed, Alice, with full anonymity, creates an encrypted ENIGMA transaction containing her true inputs and outputs and Bob’s cloaking (obscured) inputs and outputs. Bob and Alice both sign the ENIGMA transaction before it is submitted to the network for inclusion into a PoS block.

Going back to the concerns I have above, I really don’t like how Alice’s wallet would ever communicate with anyone other than the receiver or the Cloak network.  By introducing Bob, there is the chance that Bob could decipher and identify what Alice is doing.  Of course that’s not what should happen, but I believe it is a huge security whole to involve random third parties in confirming or obfuscating transactions.  The situation reminds me a lot of the vulnerabilities in the TOR network.  Essentially Bob is like an exit node, running transactions for Alice.  Bob shouldn’t know who Alice is or what she is doing, but what if there is an implementation error or other issue?  This could be avoided by not using any random third party.

I think Cloak does a great job but they’ve actually introduced a huge security hole by doing the random, third party, processes the transaction part.  It would be like saying “my data is encrypted so I’ll send encrypted copies to everyone”.  Sure it is encrypted but if someone can ever hack your encrypted data either through bruteforce or an algorithm/implementation error then you are done for.  The best solution is to never send private and sensitive data to an extra, third party.

I do think the Cloak project has worked hard and it has some great ideas but aside from privacy and what I believe are security holes in how they implement it, they have done a great job but it is not a coin that does everything right.

Bitcoin Private

For those who know me, I am very much against forks.  As I’ve stated before they decrease, value, lead to scams and confusion.  This can be evidenced with Bitcoin Gold regardless of who you believe was responsible.  Right off the bat Bitcoin Private is warning of scammers trying to confuse you with a warning on their website.

BitcoinPrivate-BTCP-Scam-Private-Keys

The problem with these types of coins, hardforks or what I think are really counterfeits is that you need to give up the very “private keys” of your real, valuable Bitcoin to claim the “new counterfeit coin”.  This is a huge security problem, regardless of who made the wallet what if the wallet is designed or hacked to maliciously steal your real Bitcoins?  There is no easy and secure way to claim your coins from these counterfeits.   Once you give up your private keys to Bitcoin Cash, Bitcoin Gold, Bitcoin Private they could steal your real Bitcoins.

Now there is a way around it, you could transfer your coins to another wallet but it’s a huge pain and a mistake could cost a novice user all of their Bitcoin.

Now in all fairness I appreciate this team at least has official wallets ready for download, unlike Bitcoin Cash.

Users who have the currency called “ZClassic” are also involved here, which is also another confusing fork of ZCash.

This is what I mean about all of the confusion.  It creates an environment where holders and buyers are easily confused about which is the real “Bitcoin”, which is the real ZCash.  And really, I can’t see any reason why people are forking except as a cash grab and counterfeiting spree.

For this reason I don’t trust Bitcoin Private anymore than I trust the other forks (although I trust Bitcoin Gold the least).  I personally feel there is no good reason to trust any of them.  If they want to make a new or better currency they should really just make their own, or at least copy it under a new name.  But of course forking, creates unwilling participants and owners of the new currency, while enriching and rewarding the hardforkers for their counterfeiting.

For those reason if I had to pick between the two, I think Cloak has our best interests at heart and hardforked coins are just a scam, counterfeit and cash grab by unscrupulous people.

Just Keep Hodling Your Cryptocurrency Coins!

As of the time of this writing on 2018-04-15 coins have started a rally just before the weekend and they’re all up.  Could it be that there is some pumping going on from Soros, Rothschild and Rockefeller?  Or could it be an emotional reaction to their announcements that they will invest in crypto?

Coins are up between 3-16% at the time of this writing with the big news being that it looks like Bitcoin has strongly cleared the $8000 mark and is hanging there fairly well.  We are back to where we were later last year.  Could this be the next leg up of a bull run? No one can be sure since only the whales and FUD and FOMO can control the market but I’ve been hodling.

Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin to me are key indicators of something big possibly heading our way.

 

2018-04-15-CoinsGoingUp

Trezor Hardware Wallet to Support Bitcoin Cash

A maker of hardware wallets for cryptocurrency has recently confirmed they will add support for Bitcoin Cash.  I’ve also been an advocate of not using these even before the Ledger Nano hack came out.

I suspect that some will lose their currency or at least have to try to recover it based on confusion over the two.  I really think it’s a bad idea since most currencies have no built-in protection to sending into the abyss to a non-existent address of another blockchain.

 

Swiss Researchers Forecast Sideways Trading and Downward Pressure on Bitcoin for 2018

They have based it on Metcalfe’s law which says at this point that Bitcoin could lose another 27%.  The group also cites the part I agree with, in that so far cryptocurrency prices are mainly driven by Bitcoin which means Altcoins (other than Bitcoin) have risen and fallen in direct correlation.

Where I am not sure if I agree or disagree is their theory that a lot of this is driven by fear in the news.  While I am sure it is, if the fear is unfounded why should bad news reflect on the long-term valuation?

A sensible market would be wise to react to say the hacks that have happened to Ethereum or the fact that illegal content has been inserted into the Bitcoin Blockchain.  That is bad news that has relevance since these issues potentially threaten the integrity of the entire blockchain.

While we’re on the topic of Metcalfe’s law, since cryptocurrency is a completely new and largely irrational market can we trust this is a valid predictor?  I am not aware that any other traditional models have successfully called any of the major events in cryptocurrency.

I do agree it was time for a significant correction but the same has happened in commodities and stocks before, yet the stock markets keep moving (albeit with a lot of money printing and manipulation-is that what regulators mean by regulation for cryptocurrency? :) ).

Only time will tell where things head but I do think that currencies that are efficient, secure and easy to use will stand the test of time (which admittedly are very few and I cannot think of a single one that solves all of the issues just yet).

Bitcoin Down 53%? Time to panic or time to be happy?

We’ve got to put this all into perspective when people come panicking and asking if you’ve sold all of your Bitcoin.  Just hold, the chart isn’t a lot different than a lot of stocks or commodities.  Let’s speak in terms of the chart since May of 2016.

 

BitcoinMay-2016-toApril-01-2018

Let’s first look back to May 2016 where it was worth about $423 USD.  Is today’s $6974.84 USD so bad?

How about April 20, 2017 whereit was worth $1216 is that so bad compared to today?

The time that makes people nervous is when Bitcoin went on a bullrun around November 1st, 2017 and was worth around $6700 USD to an all time high of around $19500 on December 16th.  I would expect like with any stock that there will be a digestion period or a pullback.

Am I worried yet?  No, unless Bitcoin drops below a year ago’s $1000 why would anyone worry?

Bitcoin on top of that now owns about 50% of the market with this drop so it has shown resiliency and leadership.

It’s not time to panic, it is time to hold steady and wait for the next bull run.  At the end of the day government policy can’t stop Bitcoin.  There will always be a country where it is legal and exchangeable.  If a blanket ban happens people will start trading directly with Bitcoin for other goods.  There’s no way people who have invested thousands of dollars in hardware and power will be throwing these coins away or walking away from them.

The Bitcoin “Bubble” May Pop But Rise Again

I know the news is in full panic mode and for partially good reason.  Not only has the market shrunk and fallen but it appears new investors are staying out.  The average investor in my opinion is still on the sidelines and they will be until things become more clear.

With that said I am HODLING and not panicking…….well except for ICOs based on Ethereum ERC20 Tokens like Finom, Tron, Bitclave, Bloom, all of who appear to have produced nothing so far.  In all fairness it takes time but my appetite for ICO and tokens is saturated.  I truly feel 99% are scams that will never produce anything and therefore the return will in the end be 0.  This is because those tokens are just an investment in what is often a bad idea or an idea that will never be executed or completed as advertised.   So for your tokens, I say it is time to panic and rightfully so.  That being said I am HODLING those too but wouldn’t hesitate to unload most of them should there be a good opportunity for return (unless I still believe in the project).

For cryptocurrencies that are usable and have real value I believe they will rise again just like the stock market regardless  of what happens.  There are a lot of remorseful people who sold their Bitcoins and Litecoins at very low levels when things weren’t looking up.  In all fairness in this new market it’s hard to be sure where things will end.

But I’m of the opinion that I will hold for years if necessary, the same discipline one should use for commodities in the stock market (unless an underlying valuation aspect has significantly or permanently changed).  From that perspective I think cryptocurrency is here, so there is demand, and it will continue to grow and be more popular.  The stock market has had far worse happen to it and recovered (however as a fan of Jim Rogers I do believe this next crash that Wall Street is due for may never recover or not for a long time).  Much like cryptocurrencies, we see the market on Wall Street can be artificially manipulated up or down.  I believe the same players are using these tactics in cryptocurrency, such as similar stock market scandals where the elite and wealthy trick people into selling short while they buy it all and sell high later on.

I am long on cryptocurrencies which involve and have a minimum bureaucracy that just get things done.  I’ve said it before but simple changes shouldn’t be debated or discussed, if a currency isn’t functioning properly then if the block size or time needs to be changed just do it!  Some things needn’t and shouldn’t be debated if they are necessary.  This is again where I disagree with hardforks and why they shouldn’t be possible.  If there is really an ideological split then the team who disagrees should start their own currency from scratch.

In reality though we just need teams around that know business, IT and security rather than expert marketers and sales people.  I think the industry will naturally head in that direction inevitably as a result of both regulation and genuine issues with the way things are done now.

For one, as a business it is still hard to integrate cryptocurrency and insecure (more on that in another article) but the revolution will come.  If the community does it, then the majority will benefit but if a government, bank or other large corporate entity does it, it will not benefit us.  So it’s time to check ourselves, pack up, roll up our sleeves and get to work!

Bitmain Reportedly Creates an Ethereum ETHash and Cryptonight Monero ASIC Miner

Some analysts on Wallstreet are claiming this and I would say it is likely credible seeing as how a Cryptonote Miner is being sold on their site now.

1. Hashing algorithm: CryptoNight

Power consumption: 550W

Hashrate: 220KH/s

These are the most conservative estimates. We expect the miners to deliver higher performance and efficiency when they are ready to ship.

2. There are financial risks associated with mining cryptocurrencies. These risks can be related to changes in exchange rate of the cryptocurrency or to changes in the algorithm that is used to mine the cryptocurrency. Please deliberate well before making a purchase because we will not accept any requests for refund for orders of this batch.

3. One major cryptocurrency which is using CryptoNight hash function is about to change their PoW algothrim, and according to their public statement, it is purposely to brick ASIC mining rigs including X3. When you buying it, you are betting that they are wrong

This is one instance where I am happy with Bitmain (unlike the scam they pull where the miner you buy will mine for them until you change the config!  They could at least default it to an account on Hashnet that gives you credit).  But in all fairness for the X3 Cryptonight miner they have given fair warning that there are two significant risks and issues with using their ASIC.

Cryptonight apparently has threatened to do something that would cause these ASICs to brick.  Even if they won’t be bricked Cryptonight has pledged to stop the use of these ASICs which is a huge threat to owning these units from Bitmain.

This could get interesting if they do release an Ethereum ASIC but Ethereum itself has stated they will eventually move to PoS (Proof of State) which will essentially stop all mining.

If the above scenarios play out then I believe most people would point their GPUs at ZCash and Monero instead and those currencies would rise in value.

We’re in very curious and serious times for cryptocurrencies between uncertainty over regulation, government, mining and the future value.  Is Bitmain leading to its doom or leading the market to more growth?

Time will tell and it is really hard to call which way it heads.